Research & Papers

2012 Global terrorism index: Capturing the impact of terrorism for the last decade

Report from the Institute for Economics & Peace (Australia, 4 December 2012).



Intelligence and Security Committee of Parliament: Annual report 2012-2013

Report from the Intelligence and Security Committee of the UK Parliament (United Kingdom, 10 July 2013).



October, 2008


From Shaykh ((Mahmud))/(TN: Report on) Senior shaykhs and other

issues pertaining to the Arabian Peninsula

(TN: In red lettering) This file contains messages from one of

the trusted brothers who is a middleman for me in the Arabian

Peninsula and is a religious student with ties to the senior

shaykhs and clerics.


July 2013

Pakistan: A History of Violence


The Pakistan Religious Violence Project, an undertaking of the U.S. Commission on International Religious Freedom, tracked over the past 18

months publicly reported attacks against religious communities in Pakistan. The findings are sobering: 203 incidents of sectarian violence resulting in more than 1,800 casualties, including over 700 deaths. The Shi’a  community bore the brunt of attacks from militants and terrorist organizations, with some of the deadliest attacks occurring during holy months and  pilgrimages.


While Shi’a are more at risk of becoming victims of suicide bombings and targeted shootings, the already

poor religious freedom environment for Christians, Ahmadis, and Hindus continued to deteriorate, with a

number violent incidents occurring against members of these communities.

The information the Project gathered is based on reports and news articles available in the public domain.

The Project seeks to be inclusive, tracking all reported incidents involving physical attacks targeting a

member of a religious community or a major religious gathering place (church, shrine, or mosque).

However, it is not exhaustive and some acts of violence are certain to have been overlooked.

While each incident has not been independently verified, the accompanying Factsheet provides a hyperlink to the

supporting documents.



The Pakistani Taliban’s  Karachi Network

By Zia Ur Rehman



n the run-up

t o P a k i s t a n ’ s g e n e r a l

elections in May 2013, Tehrik-i-

Taliban Pakistan (TTP) militants

displayed their might in the

country’s largest city of Karachi. On May

3 , t h e T T P a s s a s s i n a t e d S a d i q Z a m a n

Khattak, a candidate from the secular

Awami National Party (ANP).


On May

11, election day, TTP militants tried to

a s s a s s i n a t e A N P c a n d i d a t e A m a n u l l a h

Mehsud by detonating a powerful bomb

t h a t k i l l e d 1 1 p e o p l e i n t h e c i t y ’ s L a n d h i




Comparative Connections v.15 n.2 – Australia – East Asia/US Relations

  • Election plus Marines, Joint Facilities and the Asian Century

By Graeme Dobell  Sep 15, 2013


The past year saw the unfolding of the withdrawal timetable from Afghanistan, the second rotation of US Marines to northern Australia, the first “Full Knowledge and Concurrence” statement on US facilities on Australian soil in six years, and the end of Australia’s long-term military deployments in Timor Leste and Solomon Islands. The Gillard government produced a trio of major policy statements built on an understanding that Asia’s “extraordinary ascent” means Australia is entering “a truly transformative period in our history.” Meanwhile, Australian politics experienced a bit of turmoil. With the Labor Parliamentary Caucus in disarray the Liberal-National Coalition led by Tony Abbot won the national election in early September. In the end, not being Julia Gillard or Kevin Rudd was enough for an Abbott triumph.


Comparative Connections, Pacific Forum CSIS


Defense and Security, International Security, Military Strategy, Global Trends and Forecasting, Global Strategy, Governance


Asia, North America, Oceania

Comparative Connections v.15 n.2 – Australia – East Asia/US Relations (



Common Sense Guide to Mitigating Insider Threats

This fourth edition of the Common Sense Guide to Mitigating Insider Threats provides the most current recommendations from the CERT® Program, part of Carnegie Mellon University’s Software Engineering Institute, based on an expanded database of more than 700 insider threat cases and continued research and analysis. This edition includes mappings to the National
Institute of Standards and Technology’s (NIST’s) Special Publication 800-53, the CERT Resilience Management Model, and the International Organization for Standardization (ISO) and International Electrotechnical Commission’s (IEC’s) standard 27002:2005. Furthermore, each practice lists several recommendations that organizations of various sizes should implement immediately to mitigate (prevent, detect, and respond to) insider threats.
Read More.


Foreign Spies Stealing US Economic Secrets in Cyberspace

Foreign economic collection and industrial espionage against the United States represent significant and growing threats to the nation’s prosperity and security. Cyberspace—where most business activity and development of new ideas now takes place—amplifies these threats by making it possible for malicious actors, whether they are corrupted insiders or foreign intelligence services (FIS), to quickly steal and transfer massive quantities of data while remaining anonymous and hard to detect.

Read the Foreign Economic Collection and Industrial Espionage reports

Remarks by the NCIX at the Nov. 3, 2011 Press Conference

Media Reports on the Press Conference and Report

The National Counterintelligence Strategy of the United States

In May 2010, President Barack Obama approved the National Counterintelligence Strategy of the United States, 2009. This 2009 CI Strategy provides strategic direction and guidance for counterintelligence activities of the United States Government to include the Intelligence Community.





The French White Paper on National Security and Defence has been eagerly awaited. Due to

declining defence budgets and military capabilities, France as the major military power in

continental Europe is scaling down its ambitions. At the same time, it is seeking to give new

momentum to European common security and defence




County-level Correlates of  Terrorism in the United States, 1990 to 2010

Final Report to the Resilient Systems Division,Science and Technology Directorate,U.S. Department of Homeland Security

March 2013

About This Report

The authors of this report are Gary LaFree, Director of START at the University of Maryland,  College Park and Bianca E. Bersani, Assistant Professor of Sociology at the University of Massachusetts, Boston.

Questions about this report should be directed to


This report is part of a series sponsored by the Resilient Systems Division, Science and Technology

Directorate, U.S. Department of Homeland Security, in support of the Prevent/Deter program. The

goal of this program is to sponsor research that will aid the intelligence and law enforcement

communities in assessing  potential terrorist threats and support policymakers in developing

prevention efforts.

This research was supported by under Grant Award Number 2009ST108LR0003 from the U.S.

Department of Homeland Security through awards made to the National Consortium for the Study

of Terrorism andResponses to Terrorism (START).

 The views and conclusions contained in this document are those of the authors and should not be interpreted

as necessarily representing the official policies, either expressed or implied, of theU.S. Department of Homeland Security or START.




The Al Qaeda Media Nexus

An RFE/RL Special Report

By Daniel Kimmage March 2008

Washington, DC Donald Jensen

Director of Research and Analysis

1201 Connecticut Ave. NW

Washington, DC 20036, USA

(+1) 202 457 6900

The Virtual Netwok Behind The global message


Volume VI, Issue  6

December 2012


Table of Contents:

I. Articles


Al-Qaeda’s Response to the Arab Spring


by Donald Holbrook


The State as a Terrorist: France and the Red Hand


by Thomas Riegler

Radio as the Voice of God: Peace and Tolerance Radio Programming’s


Impact on Norms


by Daniel P. Aldrich

II. Research Notes and Resources

Research Note: Single Actor Terrorism: Scope, Characteristics and




by Petter Nesser

Research Note: Inside an Indonesian Online Library for Radical




by Muhammad Haniff Hassan and Zulkifli Mohamed

Research Note: Terrorism in Northwestern Africa: Mali, Mauretania, and

Algeria: What START’s Quantitative Data (1970-2011) Can and Cannot


Tell Us


by Richard J. Chasdi

Review Essay: Twenty Important Journal Articles on Radicalisation to,


and De-Radicalisation from, Terrorism


by David Hofmann

Selected Literature on (i) Radicalization and Recruitment, (ii) De-

Radicalization and Dis-Engagement, and (iii) Counter-Radicalization and


Countering Violent Extremism


Compiled by David C. Hofmann and Alex P. Schmid


Literature on Victims of Terrorism: Monographs, Edited Volumes, Non-


conventional Literature and Prime Articles & Book Chapters


Complied by Eric Price

III. Book Reviews

Andreas Wenger and Alex Wilner (Eds.). Deterring Terrorism: Theory


and Practice


Reviewed by Joshua Sinai


Terrorism Research & Analysis Consortium (TRAC).


Reviewed by Alex P. Schmid

IV. News from TRI’s National Networks of PhD Theses Writers


Report from the Dutch-Flemish Network


by Renee Frissen

V. Notes from the Editor


About Perspectives on Terrorism


Global Shell Games: Testing Money Launderers’ and Terrorist Financiers’ Access to Shell Companies

Monday, October 22, 2012 at 12:30

A chart from the recent study “Global Shell Games” comparing the compliance levels for the establishment of corporations in various countries. The higher the value, the more compliant the country is with international regulations according to the study’s findings.


Foreign Policy Changes in Georgia

No. 48: Foreign Policy Changes in Georgia

Author(s): Michael Cecire, Kakha Gogolashvili, David Sichinava

Editor(s): Jeronim Perović, Lili Di Puppo, Iris Kempe, Heiko Pleines, Matthias Neumann, Robert Orttung

Series: Caucasus Analytical Digest (CAD)

Issue: 48

Publisher(s): Center for Security Studies (CSS), ETH Zurich; Research Centre for East European Studies, University of Bremen; Institute for European, Russian and Eurasian Studies, George Washington University

Publication Year: 2013


This issue of the CAD examines changes in Georgian foreign policy since the Fall 2012 parliamentary elections, which gave the opposition control of the legislature. The first article examines Georgia’s ties with its neighbor Turkey – they have been close under Saakashvili and are likely to remain strong given the mutual interests of both sides. The second article shows how the new government is trying to maintain close ties with the West while simultaneously improving its relationship with Russia. The third article notes a surprising increase in support for better relations with Russia, but points out that this change did not affect Georgians’ strong support for joining the EU and NATO.


English (PDF) (


Special Editor: Lili Di Puppo

§  Analyses

Georgia–Turkey Relations in a Georgian Dream Era, by Michael Cecire, Philadelphia

§  Opinion

The 2012 Parliamentary Elections in Georgia and Changing Attitudes Toward Russia, by David Sichinava, Tbilisi

Georgia’s European Choice: Has an Old Georgian Dream Changed?, by Kakha Gogolashvili, Tbilisi

§  Opinion Poll

The Foreign Policy Preferences of the Georgian Population

The Role of the Russian Language in Georgia

§  Chronicle

From 19 February to 3 March 2013

§  CAD is a monthly internet publication jointly produced by the Heinrich Böll Foundation in Tbilisi, the Research Centre for East European Studies at the University of Bremen, the Resource Security Institute in Washington, DC and the Center for Security Studies (CSS) at ETH Zurich with support from the German Association for East European Studies (DGO). The Caucasus Analytical Digest analyzes the political, economic and social situation in the Southern Caucasus within the context of international and security dimensions.


Al-Qaeda at the Crossroads: How the terror group is responding to the loss of its leaders & the Arab Spring

By ICSR in Papers · 30/10/2012 ·

Tags: Al Qaeda, Arab Spring, Osama bin Laden, Peter Neumann, Shiraz Maher

A new policy paper by ICSR argues that Al Qaeda is at its most critical juncture since it was established more than 20 years ago. Based on speeches and papers by Al Qaeda leaders as well as contributions to jihadist internet forums, ICSR analysts Shiraz Maher and Peter Neumann have tracked the movement’s responses over a period of twelve months, which included the killing of Osama bin Laden and the onset of the Arab Spring.

The paper shows that the death of leadership figures, in itself, has done little to undermine the essentialist nature of the group’s ideology. More significant, according to the paper’s authors, have been events that Al Qaeda had little to do with and could not control: the political transformation across the Middle East, which started with the popular revolutions in Tunisia and Egypt.

As Maher and Neumann demonstrate, Al Qaeda has struggled to make sense of the Arab Spring:

    • In the first few months, it tried to construct an “alternative narrative” that gave Al Qaeda a more prominent – if not, instrumental – role in bringing about the downfall of authoritarian rulers.
    • When this narrative failed to gain traction , while the Islamic character of the uprisings became more obvious, Al Qaeda attempted to reach out to other Islamists. Though surprisingly pragmatic, this outreach was largely unsuccessful: the group had nothing to offer in an era in which it seemed that Islamist objectives could be achieved through constitutional means.
    • Finally, where popular revolutions in places like Libya and Syria have evolved into violent conflicts, Al Qaeda has tried to exploit the situation. For example, jihadists seem to be playing a growing role in Syria, yet – so far – they have failed to fully capitalize on what may be its only opportunity to re-gain momentum.

The two authors conclude that, Al Qaeda’s responses to the Arab Spring are of an organization that is losing momentum, while – at the same time – also presenting new opportunities. Al Qaeda, therefore, is at a crossroads: whether or not it survives will be decided by how well it adapts to events that are beyond its control.

The report was made possible by the Gerda Henkel and the Smith Richardson Foundations.



Transcript – Mokhtar Belmokhtar Claims Algeria Hostage Operation

On January 21, 2013, Sahara Media posted a two minute video featuring Mokhtar Belmokhtar (aka Khalid abu Al-Abbas), in which Belmokhtar claimed credit for the attack on the In Amenas complex that left at least 37 hostages dead. Belmokhtar stated, “We, in Al-Qaida Organization, we announce our responsibility for this sacrificial blessed operation, which was led by 40 Mujahideen, Muhajirin and Ansar, from various Muslim countries, and even from Western countries.” He continued, “…we are ready to negotiate with the Western countries and the Algerian regime on the condition of halting the aggression and the raids on the Muslim Malian people. As to the Americans, we say: we are ready to exchange all of your hostages held by us, in return for releasing the Shaykh, patient scholar Omar Abdulrahman…as well as our patient sister Aafia Siddiqui…” 


View translation    ( )



Transcript – AQAP Threatens France Over Intervention in Mali

On January 24, 2013, Al-Qaida in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) in Yemen issued an official video response to the ongoing French military invention in Mali. Curiously, the new AQAP recording is circulating on top-tier jihadi forums but was not posted online by the designated AQAP media courier (users on top jihadi forums are expressing confusion over this distribution method). AQAP stated, “O French people: this aggression, abuse and injustice will only cause you calamity and disasters… ” The message continued, “We, the Al-Qaida Organization in the Arabian Peninsula, advise the French government and people to back away from this aggression…The Muslims are one body…it is impossible for us to see our brothers in faith facing aggression without moving to support them.”


View translation        ( )



The Iranian Nuclear Program: Timelines, Data, and Estimates V6.0

By Maseh Zarif

February 28, 2013

The Iranian Nuclear Program: Timelines, Data, and Estimates V6.0from AEI’s Critical Threats Project


Turkey and the Bomb

by Pierre Memheld on Aug 13, 2012

The Antiterrorism Assistance Program – US Department of State…/89959.pdf 
provided a two-week Anti-Terrorism Diver consultation to Qatar, Jordan, U.A.E., kidnapping units (GAULA), ATA augmented Crisis Response Team training ….. the cost of each presentation can vary considerably, the experience after the first ATA developed its newest form of ITO to take a more pro-active approach in

The EU as a Global Actor in Counter Terrorism Introduction…/Gauri-Khandek… 
2 Tony Bunyan, Trevi, Europol and the European state, Statewatching the new …. EU legislation forms an essential element in the fight against terrorism. …. terrorism Unit and its newly established (after 9/11) Counter-terrorism Task Force to gather (Switzerland and Norway’s) heads of counter-terrorism units to engage in









Brussels, XXX

[…](2012) XXX draft




CyberSecurity Strategy of the European Union

An Open, Safe and Secure Cyberspace


Proposal for a


concerning measures to ensure a high common level of network and information

security across the Union



  Jihadi Terrorism Is Assuming An Alarming Proportion Day By Day In India.

Intelligence brief: An assessment of the states and institutions well placed to provide significant financial relief to Sudan

  • Author: Scott Hickie
  • Source: Open Briefing
  • Published: 18 December 2012
  • Filed: 18 December 2012
  • No responses


Source: Open Briefing (United Kingdom)

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Intelligence brief: Recent nuclear-related developments at the Parchin military complex, Iran

  • Author: Kevjn Lim
  • Source: Open Briefing
  • Published: 12 December 2012
  • Filed: 12 December 2012

Source: Open Briefing (United Kingdom)



Report of the Pat Finucane Review

  • Author: Rt Hon Sir Desmond de Silva
  • Source: Pat Finucane Review
  • View original
  • Published: 12 December 2012
  • Filed: 13 December 2012

The report of an independent review into British state involvement in the murder of Belfast solicitor Pat Finucane has been published.

Finucane was shot dead by loyalist paramilitaries in front of his family at his home in 1989. There have been long-standing allegations of state collusion in the murder.

Rt Hon Sir Desmond de Silva’s report concludes that there was no overarching state conspiracy to murder Finucane but confirmed that agents of the state were involved in the killing and that it should have been prevented. The report reveals shocking levels of state collusion:

  • There were extensive “leaks” of security force information to the Ulster Defence Association (UDA) and other loyalist paramilitary groups.
  • There was a failure by the authorities to act on threat intelligence.
  • Employees of the state and state agents played “key roles” in the murder.
  • There was a failure to investigate and arrest key members of the West Belfast UDA over a long period of time.
  • There was a wider “relentless attempt to defeat the ends of justice” after the murder had taken place.

Specifically on the issue of collusion between British security forces and the loyalist UDA, the report finds that:

  • 85% of intelligence that the UDA used to target people for murder originated from army and police sources.
  • 270 separate instances of security force leaks to the UDA between January 1987 and September 1989.

Read the report:

In conclusion, the review found that Royal Ulster Constabulary officers proposed Finucane be killed and passed information to his killers; they failed to stop the attack and then obstructed the murder investigation.

Source: Pat Finucane Review (United Kingdom)

Intelligence brief: The likely development of Turkish policy towards Syria

  • Author: Steve Hathorn
  • Source: Open Briefing
  • Published: 19 December 2012
  • Filed: 19 December 2012
  • No responses

Source: Open Briefing (United Kingdom)

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